Frickin' Ukrainian politics. . .
I have been dumbfounded, flabbergasted for the past few hours, and now have come up with this:
Our Ukraine should suck it up and accept Moroz as a Speaker and the Orange coalition should continue to hold and Tymoshenko get the PM seat. The three parties of the pro-democracy coalition getting the three more or less top jobs in descending order: Yushchenko/Our Ukraine, as victors of the presidential election, get the President; BJuT as the winners of the parliamentary elections within the pro-democracy camp, gets PM; and the Socialists, as the third partner, get the speaker position. I never wrote about or proposed such a scenario, but I have often ruminated on it. . .
This, I believe, is Moroz's intention/gamble. He may be a schmuck for so last-minutely backing out of the coalition deal, but I don't believe he was bribed. He is a cunning politician, a cool, cold-ass operator and manipulator who is not very gracious toward those he has used along his political path (i.e., Melnychenko, a la abdymok), but he is right about one thing: combination of Tymoshenko as PM and Poroshenko is full of potential disaster/s.
I once again blame the incredible stubbornness of Our Ukraine that has resulted in a) its failure to accept its defeat at the polls and b) its continual support for people like Poroshenko for much of what happened today.
And of course, Moroz's cunning is also to blame. . .he is indeed a major political risk-taker and is very, very cunning; will this risk work?
It is a little premature, it seems to me, to declare the experiment with democratization over just yet. . .let us wait and see who becomes PM. . .again, the Orange coalition can re-form if Our Ukraine can accept Moroz as Speaker (probably a pipe-dream); I am sure BJuT would accept it, if Tymoshenko can get the PM job. . .
Of course, the Socialists would have to agree to Tymoshenko still getting the PM job. . .
If they are completely against that, too, then they are schmucks, and Moroz one of the worst traitors of Ukrainian history. . .
UPDATE: Perhaps I was foolish to assign any degree of nobility to Moroz's move. . .just read (how did I miss this, out of all the things I have read today?) that he claims the other rationale for his move in addition to his opposition to Poroshenko is "the need to heal the east-west divide. . ." Now what the f? Why wasn't he talking about all that and a grand coalition when Our Ukraine was talking about it? Oh, of course, because he probably wouldn't have gotten the Speaker seat by going along with Our Ukraine. . . So he had to do it this way? He's that hungry to have hands on significant levers of power? For what purpose?
I don't know what to think about Ukrainian politics in Kyiv anymore. I think I will, from now on, keep completely to the grassroots, as I mostly do on this blog, anyway. . .
But I still think that Our Ukraine and BJuT should just suck it up, accept Moroz's perfidy, and keep the Orange Coalition alive as outlined above. . .
Fat chance. . .too many variables. . .too much distrust. . .too much contempt. . .
"If there aren't Russians, Germans, or Poles to fight, we have got one another to fight to the ruin. . . "